The art of reshoring: A better trade balance



reshoringReshoring decisions respond better to cost competitiveness and predictability than to trade barriers and uncertainty.

The driving force of offshoring has been and is that United States manufacturing costs are 10%–50% higher than in almost all competitor countries.

Competing industrial economies like China undervalue their currencies, making their exports less expensive globally, while our overvalued dollar makes U.S. products more expensive and less competitive. As a result, we import many more goods than we export, leading to the large trade deficits of the last several decades ($1.26 trillion goods deficit for 2025). To address this, a targeted revaluation of the U.S. dollar (e.g., by 20%) would improve cost competitiveness and drive both reshoring and more exports. Let’s dig in:

Tariffs and currency strength

Weak demand and tariff impacts are weighing heavily on companies, with recent U.S. military actions increasing uncertainty and complexity. Tariffs provoke retaliation from trading partners, further reducing exports and introduce policy uncertainty that discourages long-term U.S. investment. Consequently, investors move capital into assets perceived as “safe havens,” like the U.S. dollar. This flight to safety strengthens the U.S. dollar, making U.S. goods and services even less competitive.

U.S. jobs steady or surging

U.S. 2025 reshoring job announcements are holding steady but could climb substantially if tariff policies become more measured, stable and long term. As global supply chains grapple with tariff uncertainty, there are many announcements of projects that are “in the works,” and other “solid” announcements from recent years that may be canceled. Ongoing tariff uncertainty and mixed messaging have slowed many reshoring and foreign direct investment (FDI) announcements and delayed action.

A 2025 Reshoring Initiative Report Preview projected that approximately 240,000 reshoring jobs were announced in 2025, down by about 7% from 2024. This is still a solid outcome given the policy uncertainty, the inevitable lag between policy changes and project announcements.

More announcements on deck

Many more reshoring and FDI announcements are on deck as companies await clarity on tariff policy. Current Reshoring Initiative data does not include many of the reshoring and FDI projects cited by President Trump as $21 trillion and restated by Bloomberg as $7 trillion. These projects largely reflect companies in a “pending” posture—developing plans for U.S. reshoring or FDI that they intend to activate if/when tariff structures become firm and predictable.

Tariff complexity

U.S. manufacturing activity slipped to a 14-month low in December with falling new orders and high-input costs continuing a trend of uncertainty and weakness. Yale Budget Lab estimated the administration’s trade policy has raised the average tariff on imports to 17% up from 3% YOY.

Manufacturers are reducing orders for inputs and raw materials due to the uncertainty. Many manufacturers have indicated that the constantly shifting tariffs are making it impossible to strategize and proceed with large investment decisions. Companies need stability for multi-year planning for building new facilities and establishing supply chains.

A better proposal

The strong U.S. dollar poses significant challenges to domestic manufacturing and reshoring efforts. The USD is overvalued 20% vs. developed countries and 100% vs. China and other EM countries. Reshoring decisions respond better to cost competitiveness and predictability than to trade barriers and uncertainty. An approach that avoids an excessively strong USD will support domestic reshoring and supply chain resilience better than a tariff-based approach.

A firm, long-term tariff is much better than no action at all to address our cost competitiveness problem. However, a 20% lower USD, reversing some or all of the USD’s overvaluation against developed countries plus a 25% tariff on China, is preferred, since it reduces imports and increases exports. Tariff uncertainty does the opposite.

I offer a better proposition: A lower USD as opposed to tariffs to improve U.S. manufacturing competitiveness and incentivize reshoring. A policy that encourages a lower U.S. dollar offers, vs. tariffs, a more effective, efficient and sustainable strategy to reshoring.

MAC and a competitive U.S. dollar

Dr. John Hansen, a former economic adviser at the World Bank, developed the MAC financial mechanism to restore a competitive dollar. A more competitively valued dollar will restore global competitiveness to American factories, reduce our growing dependence on imported goods, generate billions of dollars and accelerate economic growth by eliminating the negative effects of the current trade deficit that reduces our GDP growth rate.

The Market Access Charge

The Market Access Charge, or MAC, is a small variable tax on all foreign capital inflows into U.S. financial markets. It is a financial mechanism designed to address the U.S. trade deficit and currency valuation issues.

This tax, perhaps 1% 1x on each transaction, is designed to correct trade imbalances and accomplish four key goals: increase exports; reduce imports; encourage FDI in U.S. factories instead of in U.S. financial assets; and generate revenue for infrastructure and workforce training. The Reshoring Initiative supports MAC as a solution.

The U.S. 250th anniversary

The U.S. will celebrate its 250th anniversary in 2026. As we contemplate the Declaration of Independence, we are reminded of the nation’s foundational ideals rooted in freedom, self-reliance, equality and human potential. Those ideals are essential to a healthy domestic manufacturing industry and manufacturing is essential to our American identity and economic and national security. We believe a more competitive dollar, targeted industrial policies and skilled workforce development is a comprehensive solution to support and expand America’s domestic manufacturing industry.

Harry Moser is founder and president of Reshoring Initiative.

Free Training

Source link

Reshoring: The Domestic Manufacturing Shift



Reshoring(Photo: Adobe Stock / Chopang Studio)

By Howard Riell
From the March/April 2026 Issue

The trend among so many American companies of reshoring—bringing manufacturing and more back to the United States—is proving to be seismic. Under President Donald Trump, many major companies have announced large investments in U.S. production expansions during 2025 and now in 2026, signaling a shift back toward domestic production in strategic sectors.  

GlobalFoundries, for one, has said it is investing $16 billion to reshore chip manufacturing. Stellantis, the owner of Jeep, Ram, Dodge, unveiled a $13 billion U.S. manufacturing investment. And Johnson & Johnson plans to spend $55 billion to build facilities in the United States, partly responding to trade and supply chain pressures.  

Federal announcements in 2025 point to more than $200 billion in multi-year U.S. investment commitments, led by major life sciences companies. In addition to Johnson & Johnson, other significant announcements came from AstraZeneca ($50 billion), Bristol Myers Squibb ($40 billion), GSK ($30 billion), and Eli Lilly and Company ($27 billion). While not always labeled as reshoring, these projects represent significant domestic capacity expansion aligned with federal priorities. 

Activity has been especially concentrated in four sectors: pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, advanced manufacturing, and energy and data infrastructure—industries increasingly tied to national security and supply chain resilience.

On the employment side, reshoring and foreign direct investment continued to generate substantial, if moderating, gains. Approximately 244,000 U.S. jobs were announced in 2024, down slightly from the 2023 peak. While investment momentum remained strong in 2025, job creation is scaling more gradually as projects move from announcement to operation.

These investment announcements are significant, and jobs numbers are substantial compared with historical levels. Companies have cited numerous reasons for bringing manufacturing or business operations back home after they had previously been moved overseas. These include supply chain reliability, tariffs or trade policy changes, rising overseas labor costs, automation reducing labor-cost advantages, national security concerns, and Made in USA branding benefits. 

American Machinist is reporting that industry surveys and analyses suggest that reshoring will continue to grow if the U.S. significantly expands its skilled manufacturing workforce. In fact, if American companies can fill more skilled jobs, some studies estimate that a meaningful share of currently off-shored production—as much as 30% of OEM-offshored products—could come back. 

Reshoring: A Broader View

“Reshoring to the U.S. has experienced steady, moderate growth over the past 10 years, and I expect that to continue,” predicts Rosemary Coates, Executive Director of the Reshoring Institute in Los Gatos, CA, which provides expert guidance on global manufacturing strategy.

“The bigger story is that now companies are considering the global landscape and choosing multiple places to source and manufacture,” Coates continues. “This new way of thinking mitigates the risks of regionalized disasters and geopolitics and allows companies to take advantage of low-cost labor. It is also an opportunity to develop new markets and customers and manufacture products close to where they are sold, thereby reducing carbon footprint and developing sustainability programs. What I see is not just reshoring, nearshoring, or friendshoring, but global supply chain management that is rethinking its world.”

She adds, “What we are seeing from our Reshoring Institute clients is a movement away from China and into other Asian countries and Mexico. Mexico has become a very attractive destination because of its low-cost labor and rapidly developing manufacturing capabilities.”

 Still, geopolitics and the Trump Administration’s changing tariff policy has made selecting alternate global manufacturing locations a challenge. Says Coates, “Companies are unsure of what tariffs might be imposed, causing additional costs on importing raw materials, parts, and finished products. While long-term, this may result in reshoring, in the short term, it increases costs.”

Long before a site selection begins, Coates explains, the Reshoring Institute encourages companies to analyze their product cost structures so that they have a clear picture of the percentage of production that is related to materials and what percentage is related to labor. She points out: “If labor is greater than 50% of the overall cost, then a low-cost labor area is very important.”

Reshoring(Image: Adobe Stock / Foxeel)

Foreign-Trade Zones: Place To Land 

Jeffrey J. Tafel, CAE, President of the National Association of Foreign-Trade Zones (NAFTZ), emphasizes that foreign-trade zones are “a proven competitiveness tool for reshoring, helping manufacturers/importers/exporters lower total landed costs, mitigate tariff exposure, defer duties and improve cash flow—often enough to shift the ROI in favor of U.S. investment.” 

NAFTZ, an association of public and private members, is the collective voice of the U.S. Foreign-Trade Zones Program. Association members increasingly use foreign-trade zones not just for duty savings, Tafel explains, “but as resilience platforms that enable flexible sourcing, domestic assembly, and faster response to customers. For nearshoring in Mexico and Canada, U.S. FTZs complement USMCA (The United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement) by supporting more integrated North American supply chains—allowing firms to optimize cross-border flows while keeping higher-value operations anchored in the U.S.” 

Cost volatility, supply chain risk, geopolitics and customer proximity are all converging to reshape sourcing strategies. 

“NAFTZ consistently hears that unpredictable tariffs, shipping disruptions and geopolitical exposure have made ‘lowest-cost country’ models far riskier,” says Tafel, “while U.S. FTZ benefits and state and local incentives materially narrow the cost gap for U.S. locations. Being closer to customers improves speed and customization, making reshoring and nearshoring a strategic risk management decision, not just a cost play.” 

Supply chain resilience has helped change the way manufacturers evaluate sites today compared to five years ago. Says Tafel, “Site selection has shifted from a primary focus on labor and tax incentives to a broader resilience lens that prioritizes logistics access, supplier redundancy, regulatory readiness and the ability to pivot sourcing quickly.” 

From NAFTZ’s perspective, companies are integrating trade compliance and tariff strategy earlier in site selection—recognizing that operational flexibility and trade tools like U.S. FTZs are now core competitive advantages, not back-office considerations. 

Many firms are positively surprised by how much total landed cost can be reduced through U.S. FTZ benefits, incentives, and logistics efficiencies when viewed holistically, Tafel points out. “Similarly, companies often underestimate the true cost of offshore complexity—inventory carrying costs, compliance burdens, disruption risk and lost revenue from slow response times—which reshoring can materially reduce.” 

Case In Point: John Deere, GE Appliances

Other companies are likewise looking forward and underscoring that there is no place like home. 

In keeping with its self-described “strong tradition of building America,” Moline, IL-based John Deere has rolled out plans to open two new U.S.-based facilities: a state-of-the-art distribution center near Hebron, IN, and a cutting-edge excavator factory in Kernersville, NC. Both are set to open within the next year.  

The Kernersville campus reshores manufacturing and production from Japan. The company already operates over 60 facilities across more than 16 states. 

“Our investment in these new facilities underscores John Deere’s dedication to strengthening the backbone of American industry and supporting local economies,” said John May, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of the manufacturer of agricultural, construction, and forestry machinery, turf care equipment and diesel engines. “We believe in building America, and these projects represent our intent to continue driving innovation and job creation in the United States.”

“These investments further demonstrate our commitment to invest $20 billion in U.S. manufacturing over the next 10 years,” May said. 

Another example: last summer, GE Appliances, a Haier company, said it would invest more than $3 billion over the next five years in its U.S. operations, workforce, and communities. The first phase of investments will begin at GE Appliances plants in Kentucky, Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, and South Carolina. Upon completion of this plan, GE Appliances will have invested $6.5 billion across its U.S. manufacturing plants and nationwide distribution network since 2016. 

Workforce “Foundational”

What lies ahead? Workforce availability and skills are “foundational” to reshoring decisions, NAFTZ’s Tafel believes, even as expectations evolve toward technical roles supported by automation.  

And Coates observes, “While workers may be available, they often do not have the skills to operate in a sophisticated and automated manufacturing environment. I often say we have a skills shortage in the U.S., not a labor shortage. There needs to be more emphasis on education—particularly engineering—and the development of community college programs and apprenticeships.”

With more than 4,000 new U.S. jobs added since 2016, and more than 1,000 new jobs anticipated from its five-year plan, GE Appliances places employees as central to its growth strategy.

“Infrastructure and tools matter, but they are not enough,” said Bill Good, GE Appliances’ Vice President of Supply Chain. “America’s manufacturing renaissance will be built by people. That’s why we’re partnering with universities, technical schools, and high schools to develop the next generation of manufacturing leaders. We’re not just bringing jobs back—we’re bringing purpose, pride, and possibility back to American industry.” 

For its part, NAFTZ sees firms pairing FTZ-enabled cost savings with deeper investments in training partnerships and workforce pipelines to make reshoring viable, increasingly prioritizing regions that can demonstrate sustained talent development and adaptability. 

Tafel maintains that reshoring’s momentum will depend on policy stability, predictable trade and tariff regimes, workforce readiness, and sustained infrastructure investment.  

“NAFTZ believes momentum will continue if companies can plan with confidence—knowing U.S. FTZs, incentives, and trade programs will remain reliable tools to offset cost pressures,” he concludes. “Increased policy volatility or talent constraints would risk slowing the pace of investment.”

Snapshots

Snapshot: Puerto Rico

Puerto Rico offers a compelling reshoring value proposition as a U.S. jurisdiction with global reach. Companies benefit from full access to the U.S. market, strong legal and intellectual property protections, and eligibility for federal programs, while operating within a cost-competitive structure. The island’s long-standing manufacturing base, particularly in biosciences, medical devices, and advanced manufacturing, is supported by a highly skilled, bilingual workforce and mature supplier networks. 

Puerto Rico’s strategic location provides efficient access to North America, Latin America, and Europe, helping companies reduce transit times and strengthen supply chain resilience. Incentives under Act 60 and a streamlined business-establishment process further enhance competitiveness for high-value operations, particularly those seeking long-term operational stability within the U.S. 

Recent expansions reinforce this momentum. Amgen, Eli Lilly, CooperVision, Terumo, Millicent Pharma, and others continue to invest and expand on the island —underscoring Puerto Rico’s role as a proven reshoring destination within the United States.

Snapshot: U.S. Virgin Islands

As companies rethink global supply chains, the U.S. Virgin Islands (USVI) emerges as one of the most strategically advantaged U.S. jurisdictions for reshoring and nearshoring. As a U.S. territory outside the U.S. customs zone and exempt from the Jones Act, the USVI allows foreign-flag vessels to move goods directly between the Territory and global markets, reducing shipping constraints and expanding routing options.

On St. Croix, the South Shore Trade Zone features commercial land for development, available warehouse space, and direct access to deep-water ports accommodating drafts of up to 30 feet. An international airport in the zone, with warehouse facilities in close proximity, further enhances multimodal connectivity, enabling efficient movement of goods from port to port and air to sea.

Coupled with competitive tax incentives and a stable U.S. legal framework, the USVI stands out as a resilient, flexible, and globally connected destination for manufacturers, logistics providers, and distributors positioning for long-term growth in the Americas and beyond.

Check out all the latest economic development, corporate relocation, corporate expansion and site selection news related to reshoring and nearshoring.

Free Training

Source link

Palantir CTO says artificial intelligence is key to reshoring American manufacturing


Could artificial intelligence be the key to reshoring American manufacturing?

That’s what Palantir’s chief technology officer, Shyam Sankar, believes. His new book, “Mobilize,” asserts that America can prevent World War III by rebuilding its industrial base with AI-powered workers who can outcompete China’s automated factories.

“If you can make the American worker 50 times more productive than any other worker, you can change the math equation and underwrite the business case to re-industrializing at scale,” Sankar told me.

Palantir CTO Shyam Sankar believes, “If you can make the American worker 50 times more productive than any other worker, you can change the math equation and underwrite the business case to re-industrializing at scale.” Bloomberg via Getty Images

“Mobilize” is a remarkably optimistic book that counters the narrative that AI is going to destroy all our jobs (and maybe humanity as a whole). Instead, it argues AI will bring production back to the US, restoring our manufacturing capabilities and that sector’s jobs, while making our nation more secure.

“AI is leading to more jobs — and I’m not talking about ephemeral jobs building data centers,” Sankar said, refuting the prevailing doom-and-gloom narrative around artificial intelligence. “I’m talking about persistent jobs … on the factory floor.”

Sankar applauds what he calls the “heretics” who built our country — innovators like Hyman Rickover, the “Father of the Nuclear Navy,” whom higher-ups initially dismissed, placing his office in a converted bathroom until he proved himself. He’s a big believer in rule-breakers who eschew bureaucracy, and that’s exactly why he thinks America will win.

The 44-year-old is uniquely positioned to make this argument. He’s one of a handful of voices in Silicon Valley with both deep technical expertise when it comes to government systems — he’s spent over a decade ironing out deals with the Pentagon — and a strong sense of patriotism.

Czinger Vehicles uses AI-optimized design software and advanced 3D metal printing to create ultra-lightweight, high-performance supercars with components that can’t be manufactured through traditional methods. Carlin Stiehl for NY Post

The book’s publication comes at a fortuitous moment. War is on everyone’s mind with the conflict in Iran (not to mention the recent intervention in Venezuela and Cuba possibly next). Reshoring has become bipartisan policy, with the CHIPS Act pouring $39 billion into domestic manufacturing, and AI anxiety dominates headlines.

“For a long time I feel like I’ve been screaming into the wind — I’m glad to see that there’s momentum around this,” Sankar said. “It’s a book about our national interest … we’ve survived for 250 years. How will we continue to thrive for the next 250 years? 

He believes the AI race has given America an edge to dominate what could have been a Chinese century, given the Asian superpower’s vast resources and manufacturing capabilities. It’s the kind of game-changing advantage that will help America reshore in record time — and he wants America to grab it by the horns.

He’s already seen Palantir customers adopting the technology. One submarine parts manufacturer used AI to cut planning time from two weeks to ten minutes and hired a third shift as a result.

Alex Karp co-founded and runs Palantir, which builds data analysis and AI systems for military and intelligence agencies. Getty Images

“That’s AI in the hands of the American worker,” Sankar enhused.

These aren’t isolated anecdotes. Defense companies like Anduril, Hadrian, and Divergent are scaling their manufacturing operations in the US, betting on AI-enhanced American workers over overseas alternatives. Firms like Andreessen Horowitz have launched funds like American Dynamism exclusively focused on American innovation.

This story is part of NYNext, an indispensable insider insight into the innovations, moonshots and political chess moves that matter most to NYC’s power players (and those who aspire to be).

Palantir works extensively with both the Pentagon, building data analysis and AI systems for intelligence agencies, and the Department of Homeland Security. While critics see this as the tech industry cozying up to the military-industrial complex, Sankar wants to see more companies embrace helping the military.

In fact, he points to some of the primes — huge defense contractors such as Boeing and Lockheed Martin — as part of the problem

“Consolidation bred conformity … it was more financial engineering than real engineering,” he said. “Competition, not coziness, drives progress.”

“For a long time I feel like I’ve been screaming into the wind,” Sankar said of the need for reshoring manufacturing. “I’m glad to see that there’s momentum around this.”

But Sankar’s larger point is that production and innovation are inseparable — cede one, and you’ll eventually lose the other.

“The central lie of globalization is, ‘Hey, we’ll do the innovation over there, they’ll do the production,’” he explained. “Well, guess what? If you do the production for long enough, that’s all the stimulus you need to figure out how to innovate … We cannot cede production.”

A key component of Sankar’s plan is returning to the World War II model: companies that can pivot from manufacturing consumer goods to weapons when needed. When General Motors and Ford famously retooled for war production, they succeeded because they already had mass manufacturing capabilities in place, so they could rapidly switch what they were building.

That adaptability, not simply stockpiles of weapons, is what actually deters conflicts, Sankar argues.

Hadrian builds AI-powered automated factories that manufacture precision aerospace and defense components. Hadrian

“The lesson of Ukraine that I just can’t unsee is that the stockpile is not the deterrent. That has been our core strategy since the end of the Cold War,” he said. “[In Ukraine], we went through ten years of production in ten weeks of fighting. That should have been a five alarm fire where we fired up the forges started rebuilding the arsenal of freedom.”

His vision demands a complete reimagining of American manufacturing capacity. “I want more than ten times more of the equipment that we have,” he said. “That’s going to force you to reimagine all your constraints.”

The stakes couldn’t be higher, and it’s not just about the defense sector.

“Eighty percent of our generic drugs come from China,” Sankar noted. “In a [potential war] with China, where the average American has to choose between their five-year-old dying of an ear infection because we no longer have generic antibiotics … and having the national will to fight, what do you think is going to happen?”

It’s this dependency crisis that drives Sankar’s sense of urgency. America faces a stark choice. He said, “We can fade away to irrelevance and subjugation, or we can actually mobilize.”

Free Training

Source link